Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.247889 0.290591 0.341040 0.405754 0.487610 0.589153 0.726980
2025-02-09 0.185626 0.238109 0.308290 0.411981 0.566772 0.799155 1.195960
2025-02-16 0.151604 0.207348 0.288973 0.423566 0.654130 1.065114 1.947730
2025-02-23 0.128667 0.184613 0.272414 0.430465 0.734578 1.368027 3.080970
2025-03-02 0.111903 0.166714 0.257632 0.433636 0.808268 1.709788 4.799139
2025-03-09 0.098564 0.151320 0.242850 0.431136 0.868710 2.071906 7.329751
2025-03-16 0.087252 0.137188 0.227013 0.421276 0.907897 2.416853 10.830393
2025-03-23 0.080907 0.130547 0.223446 0.435976 1.016852 3.105409 19.473271
2025-03-30 0.073167 0.120185 0.210640 0.426033 1.053729 3.586186 30.494224
2025-04-06 0.068215 0.114278 0.205659 0.433359 1.148538 4.474613 59.308646
2025-04-13 0.062868 0.106904 0.196343 0.427220 1.197272 5.237296 109.477035
2025-04-20 0.059366 0.102686 0.193080 0.436280 1.308267 6.643948 290.164471
2025-04-27 0.056613 0.099714 0.192295 0.452904 1.466826 8.945154 1441.003366
2025-05-04 0.053771 0.096235 0.189832 0.464337 1.617437 11.901039 24507.120708
2025-05-11 0.051391 0.093438 0.188528 0.479251 1.802652 16.462124 NaN
2025-05-18 0.048911 0.090141 0.185474 0.487788 1.968139 22.310099 NaN
2025-05-25 0.046457 0.086632 0.181352 0.491656 2.116309 29.828966 NaN
2025-06-01 0.043951 0.082758 0.175734 0.488747 2.224754 38.494027 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041337 0.078399 0.168272 0.477139 2.268160 46.580463 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040055 0.076949 0.168360 0.494471 2.548795 74.594250 NaN
2025-06-22 0.037842 0.073150 0.161549 0.482747 2.592416 92.604779 NaN
2025-06-29 0.036495 0.071260 0.159797 0.491385 2.828677 147.216240 NaN
2025-07-06 0.034748 0.068279 0.154594 0.484147 2.916631 200.414012 NaN